Elon Musk predicts revolutionary artificial intelligence in 2 years
In a wide-ranging interview, Elon Musk expressed the view that artificial intelligence that surpasses human capabilities will be available in the near future, and also touched on competition with Chinese automakers and issues related to his company Tesla.
AGI in 2024
Forecasts about the creation of AGI
The head of Tesla and SpaceX believes that Full-fledged artificial general intelligence (AGI), capable of surpassing the smartest person, will appear as early as 2024 or at most by 2026. According to Musk, the development of AI is hampered by limited energy resources, but this problem will be solved in the next year or two.
Training AI models
Musk said that training the next version of the xAI Grok chatbot will require about 20,000 Nvidia H100 GPUs, and for Grok 3 and subsequent models - at least 100,000 such chips. The shortage of advanced processors is currently the main limiting factor in AI development.
Conflict with OpenAI
Elon Musk, who previously advocated suspending the development of powerful neurogenerative models, created his own AI startup xAI and sued OpenAI and its director Sam Altman. The reason was the company’s abandonment of its original mission – developing AI for the benefit of humanity, and not for profit.
Competition with Chinese automakers
Musk acknowledged that Chinese automakers such as BYD are serious competitors for Tesla and pose the biggest challenges for the company. He previously ridiculed BYD cars, but later changed his mind.
The situation at Tesla
Speaking about the union strike in Sweden against Tesla, Musk expressed the opinion that "the storm has passed on this front." A spokesman for the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund, Tesla's largest shareholder, said the fund had met with the company's chief executive and received an update on the situation.
Glossary
- AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) is a general artificial intelligence capable of performing any tasks that a person can solve.
- Nvidia is an American company that develops graphics processors and systems on a chip.
- OpenAI is a research company developing artificial intelligence technologies, creator of ChatGPT.
- BYD (Build Your Dreams) is a Chinese engineering company, manufacturer of electric vehicles and batteries.
- Tesla is an American company, manufacturer of electric vehicles and energy products.
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Questions Answered
What are Elon Musk's key predictions regarding the creation of full-fledged artificial general intelligence (AGI)?
What measures and resources are required to train the AI models being developed by Elon Musk's company?
What reasons led to the conflict between Elon Musk and OpenAI?
How does Elon Musk assess competition with Chinese automakers, in particular with BYD?
What is the current situation at Tesla and how is it being commented on?
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Discussion of the topic – Elon Musk predicts revolutionary artificial intelligence in 2 years
Famous entrepreneur Elon Musk, founder of Tesla and SpaceX, made a bold prediction about the development of artificial intelligence. He expects that within the next two years, AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) will emerge - AI that surpasses the intelligence of the smartest person.
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Andrei
Indeed, these are interesting predictions from Jensen Huang and Elon Musk. However, on the one hand, we see the rapid development of AI technologies, and on the other, certain obstacles. What do we think about this? 🤔
Kristina
In my opinion, artificial intelligence is a very exciting and promising field. The progress in this area is truly amazing. However, I share concerns about the possible negative consequences of misuse of AI. 😕
Hans
I think the possibility of creating an AGI in the coming years is very real. Companies are investing enormous resources in AI development, and we are already seeing impressive results. But I agree with Christina - the ethical aspects and risks need to be carefully considered. 🧐
Sophie
I'm amazed at how quickly the AI field is growing! I recently tried ChatGPT and the results are amazing. It seems to me that AGI may indeed emerge in the coming years. 🤩
Grumpy
All this talk about AI is a waste of time. 🙄 People get too carried away with fashionable technology trends, forgetting about real problems. Instead of chasing fantasies, it is better to focus on solving pressing problems.
Pietro
I understand Grumpy's skepticism, but I can't help but admire the advances in AI. Isn't it amazing that we can create systems capable of deep analysis and decision making? 🤖 This opens up completely new possibilities!
Natalia
I agree with Pietro. Of course, the development of AI carries certain risks, but with the right approach it can bring enormous benefits to humanity. 💡 Imagine how AI can be used in medicine, science, education!
Tomasz
I can't wait to see AGI! 🤩 This could be a real breakthrough in a variety of areas. But, of course, you need to think through the rules and restrictions to ensure safety. As they say, with great power comes great responsibility.
Maria
I couldn't agree more with Grumpy that we shouldn't forget about the real issues. But I believe that AI can help us solve them. 💪 For example, it can be used to analyze big data and find optimal solutions in the fields of ecology, healthcare and many others.
Andrei
Thanks everyone for the interesting opinions! I see that the topic of AI is causing a lively discussion among us. 😊 On the one hand, this is certainly a revolutionary technology, but on the other, there are risks that need to be taken into account. I think we need to find a balance between developing AI and ensuring the safety of its use.