Artificial intelligence predicts the outcome of the Euro 2024 opening match between Germany and Scotland, as well as the likely winners of the tournament, using simulations based on team statistics.
Euro 2024 forecasts
Opening match: Germany – Scotland
Euro 2024 starts today with a meeting of the tournament hosts, the German national team, and the Scottish team. According to the forecasts of the Octopus artificial intelligence model from the startup Luzmo, the match will end with the Germans winning with a score of 2:0 with a probability of 76%.
Simulation modeling of results
The Luzmo method is based on simulation modeling, similar to the Monte Carlo, who predicts possible outcomes of events by repeatedly playing random scenarios. Computer programs analyze historical data and generate a variety of likely outcomes based on variable actions.
Tournament favorites according to AI
Out of 100 simulations, in 22 cases the winner of Euro 2024 became the French national team. The AI gives Luzmo's homeland, Belgium, 3.4% chance of triumph, and England - 3.2%. At the same time, the probability of the English reaching the semifinals is estimated higher.
According to Luzmo CTO Haroen Vermilen, their model is “a match simulator that simulates games based on the team's attacking and defensive potential, distributing the probabilities of scoring chances relative to their opponents.”
Schedule of the Ukrainian national team
The Ukrainian national team will play against Belgium, Romania and Slovakia at the Euro 2024 group stage. The first match against the Romanians will take place on June 17.
Glossary
- Luzmo is a startup that developed the Octopus artificial intelligence model for predicting the results of football matches.
- The Monte Carlo method is a mathematical simulation method based on repeated playback of random scenarios.
- Euro 2024 is the European football championship, which will be held in Germany from June 14 to July 14, 2024.
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Answers to questions
What is the Monte Carlo model used to predict the results of Euro 2024 matches?
What are the chances of France, Belgium and England winning Euro 2024 based on the simulation results?
How does Luzmo's AI Octopus football match prediction model work?
What matches of the Ukrainian national team are scheduled for the group stage of Euro 2024?
What is the expected balance of power for the opening match of Euro 2024 between Germany and Scotland?
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Discussion of the topic – Artificial intelligence predicted the winner of Euro 2024: surprise from France
According to the Octopus AI forecast, the French team will become the winner of the 2024 European Football Championship, ahead of Germany and England. The model simulated the tournament 100 times and in 22 cases the French took the main trophy.
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Ханс
The Octopus model looks promising! 😎 It will be interesting to see how accurate her Euro 2024 predictions turn out to be. Although with such bright stars as Mbappe and Haaland, the tournament promises to be unpredictable.
Матеуш
I agree, Hans! Although I don't trust AI too much in football predictions. 🤔 Remember how Paul the octopus made mistakes in some matches. In the end, everything is decided on the field.
Франческа
Guys, have you seen the ratings of our team? 🇮🇹 It seems that Italy has a good chance of making it to the playoffs! I will root for our team until the last whistle. 🔥
Ганс
Oh, why are you taking these AI predictions seriously? 🙄 Bullshit! In football, the main thing is the mood and spirit of the team, and not some numbers and calculations. I'm looking forward to hot battles on the field, not virtual simulations!
Анна
Hans is right, don't take forecasts too seriously. 👍 But it’s still interesting to look at the analytics and see how the AI evaluates the teams’ chances. In any case, Euro 2024 promises to be hot! 🔥⚽️
Пьер
As a France fan, I'm looking forward to the tournament! 🇫🇷 Mbappe and company must show their class. Don't underestimate England and Belgium though - they have excellent squads. Who will you root for?
Марта
I will support Ukraine! 🇺🇦 Our guys have been through a lot, and I believe that they will be able to spring a surprise. Remember how they beat Portugal at the last Euro? We are cheering for ours!
Хуан
I can't wait to see Spain play! 🇪🇸 We have a young and talented team that can surprise the favorites. And when it comes to AI predictions, football is unpredictable - that's why we love it! 🤩⚽️